Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Adrian still in need of assistance


Sunday’s game between the Minnesota Vikings and the Detroit Lions made one thing abundantly clear: Adrian Peterson needs help.

After rushing for 78 yards and a score on their first offensive possession, Peterson gained a paltry 15 yards on the ground through the final three quarters combined. After his first carry of the game, Peterson averaged less than a yard on his next 17. For a player of Peterson’s caliber, 15 yards over three quarters is unacceptable and frankly an embarrassment for the reigning MVP.

Peterson hasn’t lost anything from last season, he still runs with all the same speed, power, and determination he always has. His lead blocker, Jerome Felton, returns from suspension after Week Three. Felton will give the running game a boost but the Vikings won’t be catching a break from any of the teams on their schedule. The Lions’ strategy for stopping Peterson will be the same one employed by every other team on the schedule unless the Vikings prove they can effectively throw the ball. Peterson will be fighting through eight defenders aggressively attacking him and closing off running lanes every time he touches the ball.

For Peterson to even get close to his goal of 2500 yards and for the Vikings to even get close to the playoffs, the Vikings offense needs to drastically improve. The offensive line needs to block better, the play calling needs to improve, and most of all, the quarterback needs to play better.  The Vikings don’t need their quarterback to be spectacular, they don’t even need him to be good, they just need him to be average.  On Sunday, Christian Ponder was none of these.  He stared down his receivers, he was inaccurate, and he didn’t take care of the football. He was awful.

In the offseason, the Vikings added pieces to improve their receiving corps by signing Greg Jennings and drafting Cordarrelle Patterson. Losing Percy Harvin was a big blow but Jennings and Patterson combined are more than capable of replacing his production. The new additions, along with the development of Kyle Rudolph and Jerome Simpson, give the Vikings a receiving corps any starting NFL quarterback should be able to succeed with. Through the preseason and Game One of the regular season, Ponder has shown he isn’t up to the task.

The Vikings brought in Matt Cassel as an insurance policy in case Ponder floundered and it looks like he might be replacing Ponder sooner rather than later. The problem for Peterson and the Vikings is that Cassel is only a slight upgrade over Ponder.

Cassel’s and Ponder’s career averages are fairly close, with a slight edge to Cassel. They both average close to 6.5 yards per passing attempt, they both complete a shade under 60% of their passes, and they both average less than 200 yards passing per game. Their quarterback ratings are 4 points apart with the edge going to Cassel. So when Ponder gets benched in favor of Cassel, the Vikings won’t necessarily be getting a better quarterback, they will just be getting a different quarterback.

Unfortunately for Peterson, this has been the case at quarterback his entire career, minus #4’s first magical season. The Vikings are making the same mistake with Christian Ponder that they did with Tarvaris Jackson. They drafted him too high, they made him their starting quarterback, and they waited too long to admit they were wrong.

Peterson has only so much time left until he starts regressing, two or three years tops. He has carried the load for the Vikings since being drafted and has only played with a quality passer for one season, a season that took the Vikings to the NFC Championship Game. It might be too late this year but the Vikings need to get a starting quarterback to help Peterson and maximize his superhuman abilities while they still can.

He might go down as the best running back in NFL history and he might wind up as the NFL’s all time leading rusher. If he had played alongside a legitimate starting quarterback during the majority of his career? We wouldn’t be saying might.

No comments:

Post a Comment